China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

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May 1999

FX Poll 1999: Life after execution


The pie may be getting smaller but the top players are taking bigger slices. However, as Jack Dyson reports, the largest foreign-exchange firms are having to work ever harder to carve out a point of difference in a mature market with thin margins. In our eagerly-awaited annual foreign-exchange poll, Citigroup stays ahead of Deutsche by a whisker. Research by Rebecca Cicolecchia.


FX Poll: Full Results
FX Poll: Methodology

Walk around the foreign-exchange trading floors this year and the first thing you notice is how quiet they all are. Gone are the squawk boxes and the telephones ringing non-stop. Instead the desks are top-heavy with machinery, and as much of the day seems to be spent watching the Kosovo crisis unfold on CNN as dealing. But Richard Moore, European foreign-exchange manager at Citibank denies that the markets are less exciting than usual. "Although customer and interbank deal volumes are lower so far this year, the need for high-quality market advice and interpretation remains a key requirement for our client base," he says. "After all, the euro has dropped more than 10%, the yen has traded in an 11% range ­ and it's still only April."

Hal Herron, global head of foreign exchange at Deutsche Bank, London, says: "Sure, the market is currently...

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