Now that Latin America has got through the crisis years, investors wonder where the region might be headed next. Will the years to come bring improved economic performance, political stability and enhanced credit ratings, or will the old uncertainties continue? With Ecuador, Pakistan and Ukraine having all successfully restructured their debt in recent months, default is no longer the anathema it was a year ago. Argentina seems increasingly embroiled in a Fiscal crisis with no obvious solution bar devaluation or default, and the political situation in the Andes continues to deteriorate.
All this, as Latin America becomes increasingly dependent on the United States for export-driven growth, and therefore provides increasingly less diversification from US assets: historically, one of the main reasons to invest in emerging markets.
Ask Paulo Leme, head of Latin American research at Goldman Sachs, whether it even makes sense to think of the region as a whole...
