China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

EuromoneyFXNews.com

EuromoneyFXNews.com

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July 2001

Farewell to the badla old days?



Speculators may be the stars in a bull market but in a falling one they are the villains.
After a precipitous market fall in March led to a default on the Calcutta bourse and the arrest of a Bombay broker, Indian regulators decided to accelerate reform of the stock markets. Few are cheering. The Bombay Stock Exchange 30-share Sensex is down by one-fifth since early March and the crisis snuffed out trading volumes. Daily turnover of over Rs100 billion a day in early March shrank to about a quarter of that by June. Many fear worse is to come after the reforms are introduced.

Indian stock markets were a curious amalgam of a cash and futures markets. Speculators thrived on an antiquated settlement system and only one tenth of trades were actually settled. From July 2 the cash market will be separated from the futures. Trading in 414 of the most liquid stocks...


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