The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

September 2001

Bargain basement opens to business


Years from now, the banking crisis of today will probably be seen as the beginning of a period when market dominance started to pass to foreign hands.


       
Zafer Kurtul
In the long term, the banking crisis will probably be remembered as the beginning of the period when market dominance started passing to foreign banks. The Turkish banking sale season has opened and there are many bargains. "Compared with price-to-asset valuations of around 50% to 60% a year ago, bank valuations have now declined to 15% to 20% of assets," says Credit Suisse First Boston's head Turkish analyst, Afa Boran.
"We are entering a phase of foreign bank domination," says Burhan Karacam, chairman of Kocbank, which belongs to one of Turkey's biggest privately-owned industrial conglomerates. "Turkish banks need to recapitalize but have not got the resources to do so. They must therefore find joint-venture partners. Small and medium-size banks will disappear. There will be just an handful of big banks and a few speciality banks left."

HSBC is negotiating to buy Demirbank from banking authority BDDK. BDDK has...


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