The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

September 2001

The long march to compete post-WTO


Even after China has joined the World Trade Organization, there will be a grace period of five years before foreign banks can compete head-on with local banks. But that still represents an ambitious timetable for reform. There has been progress, but the sheer scale of China’s banking system, the need to adopt new accounting standards and the number of bad loans present hurdles.


       
China's banking system faces the kinds of challenges being grappled with by bankers worldwide - except that the sheer size of its industry presents a new level of complexity. The analogy of the oil tanker that needs a lot of space and time to change course is particularly apt in China's case.
And the task is made more daunting still by the need to get reform in place before World Trade Organization rules come into force, thereby opening up the market to a wave of international banks with massive experience and powerful brands.

The timeframe for the PRC's entry is still hazy, although most commentators are reckoning on the end of this year. Nevertheless it has focused the minds of bankers and regulators to a sufficient degree for a raft of new rules to be issued in an attempt to strengthen balance sheets and clean up institutions ready for the arrival of international competition. ...


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