February 2002
Banks face up to survival tests
The Turkish banking system is well on the way into restructuring and consolidation that optimists argue will make for a lucrative investment story. State banks are rationalizing – and taking a smaller share of the market – and the way in which private banks will be recapitalized by the treasury will mean that the weakest – half of them – won’t survive unless they merge.
The 1990s will be remembered as the decade when Turkish politicians
and their protégés pillaged the banking sector with a gusto that
drove the country to the brink of bankruptcy.
The full amount siphoned out of state and private banks will
probably never be known. Credit rating agency Fitch estimates that
public-sector debt from bank restructuring stood at $49.6 billion
in June last year - 39% of GDP. This is on a similar scale to Korea
and Chile. However, Turkey's deficit resulted more from political
meddling with state banks, which dominated, than to poor lending
strategies such as those that prompted bank crises in Asia and
Latin America.
How to deal with the situation is rapidly leaving the realm of
economics: in a country where some politicians break the law
themselves and offer lawbreakers protection, how do courts deal
with wrongdoers?
A judicial impasse has arisen over what to...
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