China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

EuromoneyFXNews.com

EuromoneyFXNews.com

Sign up to receive free alerts from our foreign exchange news service

September 2002

Methodology - Country risk



To obtain the overall country risk score, Euromoney assigns a weighting to the nine categories listed below. The best underlying value per category achieves the full weighting (25, 10 or 5); the worst scores zero and all other values are calculated relative to these two. The formula used is the following: A - (A / (B-C)) x (D-C), where A = category weighting; B = lowest value* in range; C = highest value* in range, D = individual value.
*NB For debt indicators and debt in default, B and C are reversed in the formula, as the lowest score receives the full weighting and the highest gets zero.

? Political risk (25% weighting): the risk of non-payment or non-servicing of payment for goods or services, loans, trade-related finance and dividends, and the non-repatriation of capital. Risk analysts give each country a score between 10 and zero - the higher, the better. This does not reflect the creditworthiness of individual counterparties....


You must be a trialist or subscriber to view this content

Please Subscribe or take a Free Trial below.
Already a subscriber? Log in here.





Download the Free Euromoney iPad app today