The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

November 2002

What’s so secure about it?


Large investment-grade corporate borrowers have increasingly turned to securitization as rating downgrades and investor risk aversion have pushed spreads on normal bonds to junk levels. Can asset-backed markets meet these giant issuers’ funding needs?


Ford and General Motors, two of the world's biggest bond issuers, with $162 billion and $187 billion outstanding in consolidated debt respectively, saw spreads on their outstanding unsecured debt gap out to the widest ever level last month. In the second week of October, Ford's dollar bond spreads moved out by 170 basis points. A high triple-B issuer, it was being quoted by traders in dollars and cents, implying it was already viewed as junk.

The unsecured debt markets have been closed to Ford's financing arm, Ford Credit, for most of the year. But the issuer reasons that all is not lost. It has just been on an extensive investor roadshow trying to comfort bondholders about its diversity of funding, ability to refinance maturing debt and, most significantly, how much...


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