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Home loans: with Indian banks awash with
rupee
deposits, corporates are being encouraged
to borrow domestically
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In a bid to moderate dollar inflows, the Indian government took
steps early last month to discourage Indian companies and financial
institutions from borrowing in foreign currency. The new rules stipulate
a lower all-in cost for commercial bank loans and restrict the purpose
for which loans of over $50 million can be raised.
Foreign currency loans must now be raised at an all-in cost of between 150
and 300 basis points over six-month Libor as against 300bp to 0bp over
Libor earlier. Also, in the case of loans of over $50 million, borrowers
must use the money either to finance imports or to meet the foreign
exchange costs of infrastructure projects.
The new rules mean only top-rated Indian companies can access the
syndicated bank loan market, if at all, while they specifically bar Indian
banks and finance companies from raising foreign currency loans or
providing guarantees and credit enhancement to companies wanting to raise
such loans.
The notification by the finance ministry points out that the new measures
are "for a temporary period until further review". Yet Indian
authorities are clearly uncomfortable with what they call
"debt-creating capital inflows". Foreign debt, particularly
short-term debt, has been kept on a tight leash ever since the
country's balance of payment crisis in 1991. That was caused in large
part by a sudden pull-out of dollar deposits from banks. The Asian crisis
of 1997 highlighted the dangers of foreign currency liabilities.
Ironically, the situation today is dramatically different. India has a war
chest of $90 billion in forex reserves and the central bank is trying to
stem the inflow of forex to keep the rupee from rising too fast.
Low interest rates abroad and an appreciating rupee encouraged a rush of
Indian borrowers to tap the syndicated loan and bilateral loan market in
recent months. Top Indian companies such as IPCL, Hindustan Zinc and HDFC,
the biggest home mortgage finance company, were among them. "There was
a cost advantage of around 300 to 400 basis points between the hedged cost
of dollars and rupee interest rates," says Amit Desaria of ING Vysya.
The five-year bullet $100 million loan by IPCL in August, arranged by ANZ
Investment Bank and State Bank of India, was raised at an all-in cost of
just 141bp over six-month Libor and will be used to refinance the
company's rupee and forex loans. A $125 million loan for Hindustan Zinc
closed on October 31, just days before the new rules came into force, and
will part finance the company's expansion plans.
Indian banks too have been keen to raise foreign loans, partly because the
central bank capped interest rates offered by Indian banks on foreign
currency deposits in October. This caused a slowdown in their foreign
currency deposits. Faced with a growing demand for dollars at home, Bank of
Baroda and Bank of India among the Indian banks as well as several home
loan and consumer finance companies lined up to borrow abroad. These
financial intermediaries cannot access the market under the new rules. Only
banks that need to raise foreign loans for the government's plan to
restructure the Indian textile and steel industries can do so.
Pressure to borrow at home
Indian companies are also being urged to borrow in rupees, partly because
local banks have an abundant supply of rupee deposits. But top-rated Indian
companies continue to seek foreign currency liabilities even though the
loan market is now closed.
Some have chosen to tap the more expensive international bond markets
instead. Petrochemicals and telecoms conglomerate Reliance, for example,
had its proposal to raise a foreign currency loan turned down by the
government in October. Bankers say that Reliance, India's largest
private company, will now go to the bond market with a $750 million offer
soon. ICICI Bank wanted to raise a forex loan but eventually sold $300
million of convertible bonds to foreign investors.
Companies naturally want to borrow capital at a lower cost. Have the Indian
authorities over-reacted? Bankers point out that the syndicated bank loan
market for Indian borrowers is small given India's sub-investment grade
rating, and most international banks are near their country limits for
India. Even official figures indicate that the sum of such loans in the
past year is less than $2 billion.
Softer measures, such as asking borrowers to hedge their forex risks
completely, could have curbed imprudent borrowing by Indian companies, they
add. Imposing capital controls will only distort capital flows. The more
effective course would be to make sure market participants know and cover
their risks adequately.