The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

February 2005

Deals of the year: Western Europe



Asia Latin America Emerging Europe Western Europe North America

Best Equity deal
Deutsche Postbank
Deal size: €2.635 billion
Date: June 2004
Bookrunners: Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley

With damaging leaked memos, threatened lawsuits, public valuation debates and speculation that one of the bookrunners might be preparing to buy the company it was supposed to be selling, Deutsche Postbank's IPO could easily have been a humiliating public disaster for all concerned. But excellent behind-the-scenes communication and a solid plan B saved the day for Germany's largest IPO since Deutsche Börse's €988 million IPO in 2001.

Mistakes were made. A leaked internal memo from Deutsche Bank arguing that Postbank's value was less than what they were seeking from investors was embarrassing and also damaging to the interests of the client, Deutsche Post. But Deutsche Bank's decision to contemplate an offer for Postbank while trying to sell it was something...


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