China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

EuromoneyFXNews.com

EuromoneyFXNews.com

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May 2005

Why the Fed needs to boost risk tolerance



The drop in stock prices last month had some people wondering whether it was time for Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve to call a halt to raising interest rates.

That might come as a shock to many other market observers. The federal funds rate is at just 2.75%; at the start of the year some predictions had it that it would go as high as 4.5% by the end of 2005. And for now the Fed is maintaining its stance of measured increases, which is its way of telling market participants that they should expect quarter-point increases at each successive open market committee meeting.

Those in favour of putting a halt to rate increases argue that these are starting to have an adverse effect on growth, even at such low long-term levels. The...


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