The truth about Asian investment banking
China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

June 2005

Iran's business future fettered by politics

by Kate Luxford reports

Iran's strong headline economic figures are out of kilter with the weakness of its private sector and feeble foreign direct investment flows. Can the authorities boost private sector growth and investment inflows so long as influential ruling groups remain suspicious of free enterprise?


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HIGH OIL PRICES pushed up Iran's real GDP growth by an impressive 6.7% in the financial year ending March 20 2004, according to the IMF. Urging the Iranian authorities to take advantage of these favourable conditions, the Fund stressed in August 2004 that "the current period of high oil prices... provides an opportunity to implement major reforms that would put the economy on the long-term path of high growth and job creation". In the IMF's view, Iran missed such an opportunity in the previous financial year, when GDP growth was 6.8%. The Fund noted in its 2004 Article IV report that "progress in structural reforms slowed down in 2003/04. While the preparation of medium-term reforms advanced and some progress was made in trade liberalization and banking supervision reforms, little progress was made in reforming the labour market, implementing privatization, or streamlining...


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